Aki Basho 2026: Sumo Predictions

1 @zander_jones +20
2 @sieben_wiesel +18
2 @dewayneb +18
3 @laurent_vaisman +17

Day 1: Shonichi (Opening Day)

1 @jane_bird +6
1 @Ippikiokami +6
1 @dewayneb +6
2 @michael +5

Day 2

1 @jane_bird +7
1 @Ippikiokami +7
2 @michael +6
2 @laurent_vaisman +6

Day 3

1 @dewayneb +4
1 @drjohannes +4
1 @laurent_vaisman +4
2 @Ippikiokami +3

Day 4

1 @Ippikiokami +6
2 @jane_bird +5
3 @dewayneb +4
3 @guilherme_borracha +4

Day 5

1 @marc +6
1 @drjohannes +6
2 @guilherme_borracha +4
2 @Ippikiokami +4

Day 6

1 @jane_bird +5
2 @dewayneb +4
2 @Ippikiokami +4
2 @laurent_vaisman +4

Day 7

1 @laurent_vaisman +7
2 @dewayneb +6
2 @michael +6
3 @jane_bird +4

Day 8 - Nakabi

1 @jane_bird +9
2 @drjohannes +8
2 @Ippikiokami +8
3 @michael +7

Day 9

1 @michael +9
1 @laurent_vaisman +9
1 @Ippikiokami +9
2 @jane_bird +8

Day 10

1 @michael +12
1 @laurent_vaisman +12
2 @Patrick +9
3 @dewayneb +8

Day 11

1 @marc +10
1 @Ippikiokami +10
2 @michael +9
3 @drjohannes +8

Day 12

1 @michael_witwicki +11
2 @Ippikiokami +9
3 @marc +6
3 @jane_bird +6

Day 13

1 @jane_bird +13
2 @marc +12
3 @Ippikiokami +9
4 @laurent_vaisman +5

Day 14

1 @michael +8
2 @dewayneb +4
3 @Ippikiokami +3

Day 15 - Senshuraku

1 @Ippikiokami +11
2 @dewayneb +7
3 @michael +6
3 @drjohannes +6

Pos.	Player	Points
1	PL Ippikiokami	115
2	JB jane_bird	99
3	DB dewayneb	96
4	MW michael	87
5	LV laurent_vaisman	85
6	JB drjohannes	66
7	MA marc	63
8	GB guilherme_borracha	32
9	ZJ zander_jones	25
10	SW sieben_wiesel	18
11	NB NetHand	17
12	RP random_pendragon	14
13	SM stewart_mulholland	14
14	MW michael_witwicki	11
15	PS Patrick	9

Series chat

Johannes B 1 week ago

Great game! That was really interesting and fun.

Host

1 week ago

Senshuraku delivered exactly what it promised. Onosato and Aonishiki came in tied at 11-3 and settled it in the last bout of the basho. Onosato thrust him out by tsukidashi and took the Emperor's Cup at 12-3. Aonishiki finishes 11-4 in his first real title fight, and he will be back. The rest of the card refused to behave. Yoshinofuji drove Asanoyama out. Fujiryoga threw Takayasu. Kotoeiho and Hakunofuji both salvaged something on the last day of a rough basho. And Kirishima, sitting at 7-7 with make-koshi as an ozeki staring at him, threw Kotozakura with an uwatenage to save it. A perfect card was worth 14 tonight. Clear favorites went 2 for 4. That closes the Aki Basho series. Fifteen daily games, one opener, and a championship that came down to a single bout between two men on the same record. Final standings are live. Congrats to @Ippikiokami for finishing with a commanding lead! This was a great basho!

Jane Bird 1 week ago

Insomnia had me all groggy and I forgot yesterday 😭 is still OK. Great basho!!

Host

1 week ago

Day 14, and the Emperor's Cup is still on the table. Onosato came to the musubi needing one win to set up a clinch, and Kotozakura dumped him with a tsukiotoshi. Aonishiki had already handled Kirishima, so the two of them go to senshuraku tied at 11-3. Chalk had a brutal night. Six of our bouts had a clear favorite and only two of them held. Now the good part. Onosato and Aonishiki meet each other in the final bout of the basho. The winner takes the yusho at 12-3, the loser finishes 11-4, and nobody else in the field can reach either number. No playoff, no scoreboard watching, no permutations. One bout for the Cup. Four more bouts on the Day 15 card sit on a kachi-koshi knife edge, Kirishima among them. He goes make-koshi as an ozeki if Kotozakura beats him. Day 15 is live.

Host

1 week ago

Day 13 wrap: the lead is down to one. Kirishima threw the yokozuna, and suddenly this is a race. Onosato is 11-2 with two days left, and Asanoyama and Aonishiki are right behind at 10-3 after both won. Four more sit at 9-4 and are not out of it: Churanoumi, Fujinokawa, Ura and Wakamotoharu. Asanoyama beat sekiwake Atamifuji to get there. He is a Maegashira 6, a former ozeki who fell to the lower divisions and climbed back, and if he wins the Cup our pre-tournament question about a rank-and-file champion turns Yes. One bout was decided without a bout: Takanosho did not appear, so Hakunofuji took a fusen, a default win. It counts in the official record, so it counts here. Day 14 picks are live.

Paul Lee 1 week ago

How are Kyūjō handed in the game? Do they count as a fusen win, or are they disregarded?

Paul Lee 4 days ago

@michael No. I agree it should count as a normal win, just as the JSA has always treated it. It’s frustrating that some sumo games choose to handle fusen differently, ignoring the reality of how it’s recognized in professional sumo.

Host

1 week ago

@Ippikiokami Of course! Would love to know if you agree or disagree with the way it is working. I'm planning on running these for future bashos as well so if you think the competition should be voided instead that would be great input! :)

Paul Lee 1 week ago

@michael Thanks! Got it. Always good to get clarity on the rules.

Host

1 week ago

We score it as a normal win. That's how the Sumo Association records it: it counts toward a wrestler's record, his promotion, and the championship race, so it counts here too. Tonight Takanosho did not appear and Hakunofuji took the win that way. The only time we'd void a contest is if we built a bout that couldn't happen, meaning the withdrawal was already public when picks opened. That would be our mistake, not a result.

Host

1 week ago

Day 12 wrap: the field shrinks to three. Onosato threw Atamifuji with a pulling underarm and sits 11-1 with three days left. Only Asanoyama, Fujinokawa and Aonishiki are still within two at 9-3. The chasers were fed to each other and half of them fell. Asanoyama beat Churanoumi, Aonishiki beat Kinbozan, and Fujinokawa came through against Kirishima. Churanoumi, Kinbozan and Atamifuji all drop to 8-4 and need a collapse to matter. One pre-tournament question is now settled: Atamifuji cannot reach 12 wins, so that answer is No. Day 13 picks are live.

Host

1 week ago

Day 11 wrap: the yokozuna answers the question. Fujinokawa had beaten Onosato in each of their last two meetings, so the musubi was a genuine toss-up. It was not close: the grand champion forced him straight out. Onosato is 10-1 and two clear with four days to go. Behind him, a six-man jam at 8-3: Atamifuji, Fujinokawa, Churanoumi, Kinbozan, Asanoyama and Aonishiki, who has now won five straight. For any of them to catch Onosato, he has to lose twice. Kirishima finally stopped the slide by beating Atamifuji, which also hurts the pre-tournament 12-win question: Atamifuji must now win all four of his remaining bouts. And Hakunofuji, the man who beat two ozeki this week, is 3-8 and will lose his komusubi rank. Day 12 picks are live.

Host

1 week ago

@jane_bird Lol - I've had nothing but dumpster fire after dumpster fire.

Jane Bird 1 week ago

Officially my first dumpster fire day! Haha. This is fun, and takes the pressure off 😁

Host

2 weeks ago

Day 10 wrap: three chasers, one yokozuna. Onosato beat Hakunofuji and leads alone at 9-1 with five days to go. Right behind him at 8-2 are Fujinokawa, Atamifuji and Kinbozan, all of whom locked in a winning record tonight. Atamifuji pushed out ozeki Kotozakura, so his 12-win question is still alive: four of his last five. Aonishiki stopped Churanoumi for his fourth straight win, and the reigning champion is back in range at 7-3. The worry of the night is Kirishima, beaten by Fujiryoga and now 5-5. Two more losses and the ozeki is kadoban, meaning he'd have to win eight in November to keep his rank. Our bonus man Kinbozan, a Maegashira 10, is now three wins from a real shot at the Cup. Day 11 picks are live.