Predict the Floor — Game 3: The Ballot

Starting Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Real measures on real ballots, decided by millions of voters on November 3rd. This is prediction at its purest — no referee needed, the country counts the votes for you. It opens with the year's strangest question (Idaho asks voters to name an official state gun, choosing between six actual firearms) and runs through the ones a room full of capital allocators will have loud opinions on: a one-time wealth tax on California's billionaires, a Tennessee ban on property taxes, ranked-choice voting on the chopping block in Alaska. Every measure here is verified on the ballot. Lock your reads at the summit; find out if you called the country right eleven days later. Longest horizon in the Series, and the one that keeps the leaderboard alive after everyone's gone home.

JTJeff Test Host

1 of 10

The State Gun: rank the top 3 finishers in Idaho's official state gun advisory vote

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Sort the competitors from first place to last place.

1
Winchester Model 1894
2
Winchester Model 1873
3
Colt Single Action Army (1873)
4
M1 Garand
5
Colt M1911
6
Remington 700

2 of 10

Probate Purge: does New Hampshire vote to eliminate the Office of Register of Probate?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

3 of 10

Lunch on the State: does North Dakota vote to require schools to provide free meals to students?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

4 of 10

Cap the Suits: does California vote to limit compensation of healthcare executives?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

5 of 10

The Billionaire Tax: does California vote to pass a one-time wealth tax funding healthcare, education & food-assistance programs?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

6 of 10

Property Tax Ban: does Tennessee (Amendment 2) vote to prohibit state property taxes?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

7 of 10

Cap the Rate: does North Carolina vote to establish a maximum state income tax rate (bill sets 3.5%, down from 7%)?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

8 of 10

Rank It Out: does Alaska vote to repeal top-four ranked-choice voting?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

9 of 10

Pay the Lawmakers: does New Mexico vote to establish a salary for state legislators?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Pass

Fail

10 of 10

Two States, One Idea: collective bargaining — Maryland passes, Vermont (Proposal 3) passes, both, or neither?

Nov 3 @ 12:00 AM

Pick the correct answer.

Points

Maryland only

Vermont only

Both

Neither

Predict the Floor — Game 3: The Ballot

The State Gun: rank the top 3 finishers in Idaho's official state gun advisory vote

Probate Purge: does New Hampshire vote to eliminate the Office of Register of Probate?

Lunch on the State: does North Dakota vote to require schools to provide free meals to students?

Cap the Suits: does California vote to limit compensation of healthcare executives?

The Billionaire Tax: does California vote to pass a one-time wealth tax funding healthcare, education & food-assistance programs?

Property Tax Ban: does Tennessee (Amendment 2) vote to prohibit state property taxes?

Cap the Rate: does North Carolina vote to establish a maximum state income tax rate (bill sets 3.5%, down from 7%)?

Rank It Out: does Alaska vote to repeal top-four ranked-choice voting?

Pay the Lawmakers: does New Mexico vote to establish a salary for state legislators?

Two States, One Idea: collective bargaining — Maryland passes, Vermont (Proposal 3) passes, both, or neither?

Game chat